Articles

Meet the author

Peter Geikie-Cobb is our Head of Investment Research. With a 35 year career in Financial Services as a former bond fund manager and multi-asset investment manager, he is able to bring clarity to the noise we read in the headlines.

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Market Update James Montgomery Market Update James Montgomery

March 2024

Summer rate cuts expected.

Rhetoric from the Federal Reserve and the Bank of England following monetary policy meetings this week has been softer in tone regarding the fight against inflation and the consequent outlook for interest rates. Markets are discounting…

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Market Update James Montgomery Market Update James Montgomery

February 2024

Don't bank on big interest rate cuts.

Yesterday, 20th February, Andrew Bailey was in front of the Treasury select committee and the headline in the financial media was that the Bank of England does not have to wait for the inflation rate to hit the 2% target before cutting interest rates. In the same breath the Governor said…

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Market Update James Montgomery Market Update James Montgomery

January 2024

Is the year-end rally overdone?

Markets rallied strongly into the year end driven by the prospect of interest rate cuts in the first half of 2024. In this article we question the justification for such cuts in rates and the short-term optimism that this has brought to equity markets. Our investment process remains focused on underlying fundamentals.

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Market Update James Montgomery Market Update James Montgomery

December 2023

2023 Year in Review

2023 has been an eventful year of interest rate hikes, inflation holding on and market volatility. We recap on the changes we have made to client portfolios and what next year might look like.

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Market Update James Montgomery Market Update James Montgomery

November 2023

The Market Cycle

With interest rates likely to remain at this higher level for longer, our place in the market cycle is changing. This article explains how we can take advantage of this new phase and seek investment opportunities.

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Investing James Montgomery Investing James Montgomery

What is a bond?

Learn about fixed income and bonds.

The term ‘bond’ is used to describe several different types of financial products. In this article we explore bonds in the context of the ‘fixed income’ element of a balanced investment portfolio.

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Market Update James Montgomery Market Update James Montgomery

October 2023

Higher for longer.

Until recently markets were anticipating interest rate cuts by the middle of next year. While the peak in rates is likely to be soon, the stubbornness of inflation has now caused the market to put these rate cuts much further out, causing turbulent bond markets to grasp the headlines.

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Risk warning

The articles presented on the Montgomery Associates website do not constitute an offer or invitation in respect of investments described, nor should they be interpreted as advice or a recommendation. You should contact your financial adviser or accountant for advice relating to your circumstances. The opinions and information in these articles have been prepared from sources believed to be reliable at the time and are given in good faith. The information and opinions expressed in this document represent the views of Montgomery Associates at the time of preparation and may be subject to change.

The value of an investment and any income from it can fall as well as rise and you may not get back the amount you originally invested.

Past performance is not a guide to future performance.